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[南半球] 2011年5月中旬南太TD17F

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发表于 2011-5-11 20:51 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI May 10/2306 UTC 2011 UTC.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD17F [1006 HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 20.0S 159.4W
AT 102100 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT VIS/IR WITH ANIMATION AND
PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. TD17F MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 20 KNOTS.
SST AROUND 28 DEGREES CELCIUS.
CONVECTION HAS INCREASED WITH SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN THE OVERRALL
ORGANISATION IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYSTEM LIES TO THE EAST OF 250 HPA
TROUGH IN A MODERATE TO HIGH SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEAST WITH
SOME INTENSIFICATION.
POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.  
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.
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