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[南半球] 2011年21S.ERROL

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 楼主| 发表于 2011-4-17 12:36 | 显示全部楼层
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 11:32am WST on Sunday the 17th of April 2011
Valid until midnight WST Wednesday


Existing Cyclones:
A Shipping Warning [IDW23100] is current for Tropical Cyclone Errol [29U]. At
9:00am WST Tropical Cyclone Errol was located near 11.0S 124.2E and moving west
northwest at 4 kilometres per hour. Please refer to the latest warning from the
Jakarta Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre for further details.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Monday      :Moderate
Tuesday     : Low
Wednesday   : Low
 楼主| 发表于 2011-4-17 20:14 | 显示全部楼层
EGC:2:1:24:11S124E900:11:00
THIS WARNING IS PROVIDED BY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE JAKARTA
AND ISSUED FOR THE CIRCULAR AREA OF METAREA XI (POR) BY JMA

INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) Jakarta

SECURITE

            HIGH SEAS WARNING

HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR AREA 0 90E - 0 141E, 9S 141E - 9S 128E, 11S 128E - 11S 120E, 10S 120E - 10S 90E
Issued by JAKARTA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
At: 08:35 UTC 17 April 2011

SITUATION
At 06:00 UTC Tropical Cyclone ERROL 999 hPa was within 50 nautical miles of 11.0 S 124.0 E moving west northwest at 2 knots.

This tropical cyclone may decrease into a Tropical Depression in the next 24 - 72 hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 35 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 45 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 45 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 45 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Clockwise winds reaching 40 knots expected to decrease to 30 knots in the next 24 hours.
High seas may exceed Rough to Very Rough scale and rising swell.

18:00 UTC 17 April:  Within 80 nautical miles of 10.6 S 121.8 E
                        Central pressure 1001 hPa.
                        Wind speed reaching 35 knots near centre.
06:00 UTC 18 April: Within 110 nautical miles of 10.8 S 120.3 E
                        Central pressure 1002 hPa.
                        Wind speed reaching 30 knots near centre.

REMARKS
Ships please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
Next warning will be issued by 13:00 UTC 17 April 2011.

Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre JAKARTA
 楼主| 发表于 2011-4-17 20:16 | 显示全部楼层
IDJ20050
INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) Jakarta

            COASTAL ZONE WARNING

FOR COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN KUPANG AND ROTE ISLAND
Issued by JAKARTA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
At: 15:36 WIB 17/04/2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

NOTE: latitudes and longitudes are in decimal degrees.

SITUATION AT 13:00 WIB:
Tropical Cyclone ERROL was located within 50 nautical miles of 11.0 S 124.0 E about 50 nautical miles east southeast of Rotecand 55 nautical miles south southeast of Kupang with central pressure 999 hectopascals moving west northwest at 2 knots.


Centre forecast to be within 110 nautical miles of 10.8 S 120.3 E about 170 nautical miles west of Rote at 13:00 WIB Monday.

STRONG WIND WARNING:
For coastal waters BETWEEN TIMOR ISLAND AND ROTE ISLAND
winds 20/30 knots. Scattered squalls to 45 knots.
Moderation is expected in 12-24 hours.


HIGH WAVES WARNING:
For coastal waters TIMOR ISLAND AND ROTE ISLAND
Maximum wave height could reach 4 metres and swell could reach 1.2 metres.
Moderation is expected in 12-24 hours.

NEXT WARNING:
20:00 WIB 17/04/2011
 楼主| 发表于 2011-4-17 22:35 | 显示全部楼层
IDJ20050
INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) Jakarta

            COASTAL ZONE WARNING

FOR COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN KUPANG AND ROTE ISLAND
Issued by JAKARTA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
At: 21:21 WIB 17/04/2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

NOTE: latitudes and longitudes are in decimal degrees.

SITUATION AT 19:00 WIB:
Tropical Cyclone ERROL was located within 30 nautical miles of 11.0 S 123.2 E about 15 nautical miles south of Rotecand 55 nautical miles south southwest of Kupang with central pressure 1001 hectopascals moving west at 4 knots.


Centre forecast to be within 90 nautical miles of 10.7 S 119.1 E about 240 nautical miles west of Rote at 19:00 WIB Monday.

STRONG WIND WARNING:
For coastal waters BETWEEN TIMOR ISLAND AND ROTE ISLAND
winds 20/30 knots. Scattered squalls to 45 knots.
Moderation is expected in 12-24 hours.


HIGH WAVES WARNING:
For coastal waters TIMOR ISLAND AND ROTE ISLAND
Maximum wave height could reach 4 metres and swell could reach 1.2 metres.
Moderation is expected in 12-24 hours.

NEXT WARNING:
02:00 WIB 18/04/2011
 楼主| 发表于 2011-4-17 22:36 | 显示全部楼层
EGC:2:1:24:11S123E900:11:00
THIS WARNING IS PROVIDED BY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE JAKARTA
AND ISSUED FOR THE CIRCULAR AREA OF METAREA XI (POR) BY JMA

INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) Jakarta

SECURITE

            HIGH SEAS WARNING

HIGH SEAS WARNING FOR AREA 0 90E - 0 141E, 9S 141E - 9S 128E, 11S 128E - 11S 120E, 10S 120E - 10S 90E
Issued by JAKARTA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
At: 14:20 UTC 17 April 2011

SITUATION
At 12:00 UTC Tropical Cyclone ERROL 1001 hPa was within 30 nautical miles of 11.0 S 123.2 E moving west at 4 knots.

This tropical cyclone may decrease into a Tropical Depression in the next 24 - 72 hours.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 30 nautical miles in NE quadrant
  and within 35 nautical miles in SE quadrant
  and within 40 nautical miles in SW quadrant
  and within 35 nautical miles in NW quadrant.

FORECAST
Clockwise winds reaching 35 knots expected to decrease to 30 knots in the next 24 hours.
High seas may exceed Rough to Very Rough scale and rising swell.

00:00 UTC 18 April:  Within 40 nautical miles of 10.6 S 121.1 E
                        Central pressure 1004 hPa.
                        Wind speed reaching 30 knots near centre.
12:00 UTC 18 April: Within 90 nautical miles of 10.7 S 119.1 E
                        Central pressure 1004 hPa.
                        Wind speed reaching 30 knots near centre.

REMARKS
Ships please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.
Next warning will be issued by 19:00 UTC 17 April 2011.

Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre JAKARTA
 楼主| 发表于 2011-4-18 10:57 | 显示全部楼层
IDJ20050
INDONESIAN AGENCY FOR METEOROLOGY CLIMATOLOGY AND GEOPHYSICS
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre (TCWC) Jakarta

            COASTAL ZONE WARNING

FOR COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN KUPANG AND ROTE ISLAND
Issued by JAKARTA TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
At: 09:25 WIB 18/04/2011

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

NOTE: latitudes and longitudes are in decimal degrees.

SITUATION AT 07:00 WIB:
Tropical Depression ERROL was located within 30 nautical miles of 10.2 S 123.5 E about 10 nautical miles west southwest of Kupangcand 35 nautical miles northeast of Rote with central pressure 1003 hectopascals moving north northwest at 4 knots.


Centre forecast to be within 90 nautical miles of 10.8 S 121.9 E about 115 nautical miles west southwest of Kupang at 07:00 WIB Tuesday.

STRONG WIND WARNING:
For coastal waters BETWEEN TIMOR ISLAND AND ROTE ISLAND
winds 20/30 knots. Scattered squalls to 45 knots.
Moderation is expected in 12-24 hours.


HIGH WAVES WARNING:
For coastal waters TIMOR ISLAND AND ROTE ISLAND
Maximum wave height could reach 4 metres and swell could reach 1.2 metres.
Moderation is expected in 12-24 hours.

NEXT WARNING:
There will be no further warning issued for this system because the system decrease become tropical depression

BMKG确认系统已CAT1的强度登陆印尼帝汶岛。
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