世纪气象云

 找回密码
 注册

QQ登录

只需一步,快速开始

查看: 5745|回复: 11
收起左侧

[北大西洋] 2010年8月北大西洋08L.FIONA

[复制链接]
发表于 2010-8-27 08:05 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
2010年8月北大西洋热带扰动97L










世纪气象热带气旋报告单,只供参考交流,详见:免责声明







報告人:威尼斯0519
所屬團隊:21cma
擾動編号:97L
編号時間:26 AUG 2010 2300Z
初始強度:25kts.1009mb
擾動定位:11.5N.20.1W(查看位置:TC Google Map
存在區域:西非近岸

1、系統結構分析:云图螺旋性好
2、系統環境分析:低层辅合状态一般;高空幅散状态良好;系统所处垂直风切微弱;涡度一般;系统所处海水表面温度: 26-27摄氏度左右
3、系統現狀其他分析: 无
數值預報:EC支持发展
個人評估:发展机会较高

备注 Notes --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---


1、热带扰动初始信息来自美国海军联合台风警报中心(JTWC),采用一分钟平均风速。
2、KT是航海速度单位“节(knot)”的英文缩写,复数形式KTS,1KT=0.5144m/s。
3、更多基础知识请见: 追击台风的基本知识
世纪气象版权所有,未经许可不得盗用模板和转载。转载时请写明出处、作者和网址
更多图片 小图 大图
组图打开中,请稍候......
 楼主| 发表于 2010-8-27 18:20 | 显示全部楼层
留图YY~~~
更多图片 小图 大图
组图打开中,请稍候......
 楼主| 发表于 2010-8-27 18:38 | 显示全部楼层
97LINVEST.25kts-1010mb-116N-228W
更多图片 小图 大图
组图打开中,请稍候......
 楼主| 发表于 2010-8-28 08:33 | 显示全部楼层
97LINVEST.25kts-1009mb-120N-243W
更多图片 小图 大图
组图打开中,请稍候......
发表于 2010-8-29 13:43 | 显示全部楼层
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE IN ASSOCIATION WITH AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ROUGHLY MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF
AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES.  THE CIRCULATION AROUND THIS LOW
HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED THIS EVENING...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
COULD FORM AT ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT ABOUT 20 MPH.
更多图片 小图 大图
组图打开中,请稍候......
发表于 2010-8-30 10:03 | 显示全部楼层
继续80%的可能性
97LINVEST.25kts-1007mb-140N-414W
更多图片 小图 大图
组图打开中,请稍候......
发表于 2010-8-30 11:40 | 显示全部楼层
TCFA
更多图片 小图 大图
组图打开中,请稍候......
发表于 2010-8-30 11:41 | 显示全部楼层
20100830.0315.goes13.x.ir1km_bw.97LINVEST.25kts-1007mb-140N-414W.100pc.jpg

但是这个样子= =
更多图片 小图 大图
组图打开中,请稍候......
发表于 2010-8-30 11:45 | 显示全部楼层
40W以西风切减弱,NHC认为很快能爆发对流所以很看好就给8成机会。
发表于 2010-8-30 14:12 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON AUG 30 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 510 MILES SOUTH OF CAPE RACE
NEWFOUNDLAND...AND ON HURRICANE EARL...LOCATED ABOUT 35 MILES
NORTH OF BARBUDA.

1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE
CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT
1150 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT
ANY TIME DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90
PERCENT
...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI
NNNN
更多图片 小图 大图
组图打开中,请稍候......
您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

Archiver|手机版|世纪气象云 | | | 关于我们

GMT+8, 2024-4-18 11:37 , Processed in 0.027917 second(s), 21 queries .

Powered by Discuz! X3.4

© 2001-2017 Comsenz Inc.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表