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发表于 2009-1-8 12:34
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25kts.1004mb.15.1S.66.6E
AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT CIRCULA-
TION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.1S 66.5E, APPROX-
IMATELY 725 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LA REUNION. RECENT ANTIMATED WATER
VAPOR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION FLARING
ON THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) EVIDENT IN A PARTIAL 072126Z AMSR-E PASS. THE LLCC LIES NORTH
OF AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS IN AN AREA OF MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. HOWEVER, THE LLCC IS ALSO MOVING CLOSER TO THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS, WHICH MAY PROVIDE A REDUCTION IN SHEAR VALUES OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1007 MB. BECAUSE THE LLCC IS BROAD AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT IS JUST
BEGINNING TO IMPROVE, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
95S完全成為05S的一部分。看來又一經典即將出現,到目前為止97S->05S 己走了60E了:y43
[ 本帖最后由 sylar 于 2009-1-8 12:39 编辑 ] |
组图打开中,请稍候......
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