2010年12月下旬东南印97S

北落师门

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for the Western Region
IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 12:32pm WST on Wednesday the 22nd of December 2010
Valid until midnight WST Saturday  


Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
Nil.

Potential Cyclones:
During Wednesday a low may move off the west coast of the Top End but it is
likely to be located east of 125E. During Thursday this low is expected to move
to the west and be located to the north of the Kimberley coast near 125E, then
continue to move to the west during Friday and Saturday. This low is not
expected to develop into a tropical cyclone during the outlook period.         
   
   
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Thursday    Low
Friday      Low
Saturday    Low

北落师门

美军也认为LPA，给了临时编号SH95。

北落师门

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for the Western Region
IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 12:00pm WST on Thursday the 23rd of December 2010
Valid until midnight WST Sunday   


Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
Nil.

Potential Cyclones:
At 11am WST a low was located near 11.5S 127.3E, about 450 kilometres north
northwest of Wyndham and moving to the west at about 15 kilometres per hour.
This low is expected to move to the west southwest, well to the north of the
Kimberley coast during Thursday and Friday. Over the weekend the low is likely
to maintain a west southwest track over open water well to the north of the
Pilbara. The system is expected to remain weak and not develop into a tropical
cyclone during the outlook period.              
   
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Friday      : Low
Saturday    : Low
Sunday      : Low

li0627

:和L之间请隔开，不然老是:L

北落师门

Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for the Western Region
IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Tropical Cyclone three-day outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 2:00pm WST on Monday the 27th of December 2010
Valid until midnight WST Thursday  


Existing Cyclones in the Western region:
Nil.

Potential Cyclones:
A monsoon trough lies near 11S. There are indications that a low may form in the
trough near 12S 110E during Tuesday or Wednesday, but this system is not
expected to develop into a tropical cyclone during the outlook period.         
   
   
Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Tuesday     : Very low
Wednesday   : Low
Thursday    : Low

北落师门

Another low may form along the monsoon trough in the vicinity of 12S 100E late
Tuesday or during Wednesday. This low is expected to move to the west and may
develop into a tropical cyclone on Thursday or Friday as it approaches 90E.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Wednesday : Low
Thursday  :Moderate
Friday    :Moderate

北落师门

BOM已编国际号了，很看好，有望过90E获得2个名字。美军刚认为LPA，临时编号SH97。

北落师门

Another low may form along the monsoon trough between 10S and 12S, 95E to 105E
during Wednesday or Thursday. This low is expected to move to the west and may
develop into a tropical cyclone on Saturday before it crosses 90E.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Thursday  : Low
Friday    : Low
Saturday  :Moderate

北落师门

Another low may form along the monsoon trough between 10S and 12S, 90E to 95E
during Thursday. This low is expected to move to the west and is unlikely to
develop before crossing to the west of 90E.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region:
Friday    : Low
Saturday  : Low
Sunday    : Low

将移入西南印，BOM认为将在90E以西发展。

methk

97S在過去三天發展緩慢，但有強對流體爆發，不過目前只在中心西部。