气旋风暴05B'JAL'——99W发展而来的跨境TC

北落师门

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 106E ALMOST STATIONARY.

北落师门

Warning
"Tropical depression in the Gulf and cooler weather in upper Thailand"
No. 1 Time Issued : October 31, 2010

        An active low cell in the lower South China Sea was upgraded to tropical depression and centered about 450 km southeast of Songklha or at Lat 6.5 oN, Long 105.5 oN. , with maximum sustained wind about 50 km./hr. It is moving northwestward with speed 15 km./hr. and expected move through the Gulf and the lower South of Thailand during 1-3 November, 2010. Torrential rain and heavy to very heavy falls are expected in the South and strong wind-wave in the Gulf, wave height about 2-4 meters.
       People in risky areas along hill slope near waterways and in lowlands should beware of severe weather and possible flash flood. The disaster areas include of

       Chumphon, Surat Thani, Nakhon Si Thammarat, Phatthalung, Songkhla, Pattani, Yala, Narathiwat, Krabi, Trang and Satun. People in the southern Thailand east coast should beware of force wind and high wave into the shore, all ships should proceed with caution and small boats in the Gulf keep ashore,

       The ridge of intense high pressure from China still covers Thailand. Generally cooler weather with windy and 1-3 oC drops are likely in upper Thailand by 2-3 days. Minimum temperature in the upper North and Northeast is about 12-16 oC and 6-12 oC on the mountains top.

       This severe weather conditions will be issued and notified periodically.

li0627

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 05N 106E ALMOST STATIONARY.

li0627

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 105E WEST SLOWLY.
   
TD都不升，更不用说GW了。

北落师门

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 06N 104E WNW SLOWLY.

li0627

JTWC：20kt。
   
不排除发出TCFA的可能。

北落师门

Warning
"Tropical depression and cooler weather in upper Thailand"
No. 3 Time Issued : November 01, 2010

        At 4.00 a.m. today, tropical depression in the lower gulf of Thailand was centered about 350 km southeast of Songkhla or at Lat 6.5 oN, Long 104.0 oE., with maximum sustained wind about 50 km./hr. It is moving northwestward with speed 15 km./hr. and expected move through the lower South of Thailand during 1-2 November, 2010. Torrential rain and heavy to very heavy falls are expected in the South from Surat thani southward with strong wind-wave in the Gulf, wave height about 2-4 meters.
       People in risky areas along hill slope near waterways and in lowlands should beware of severe weather and possible flash flood. The disaster areas include of Surat Thani, Nakhon Si Thammarat, Phatthalung, Songkhla, Pattani, Yala, Narathiwat, Krabi, Trang and Satun. People in the southern Thailand east coast should beware of force wind and high wave into the shore; all ships in the middle Gulf southward keep ashore during the period.

       The ridge of intense high pressure from China still covers Thailand. Generally cooler weather with windy are likely in upper Thailand in a few days. Minimum temperature in the upper North and Northeast is about 12-16 oC and 6-12 oC on the mountains top.

       This severe weather conditions will be issued and notified periodically.

北落师门

TMD预测将穿越克拉地峡，会带来强风和强降水。

北落师门

JMA数值认为在孟湾发展，在其辖区编国际号已基本无可能。JMA在100E以东可能都维持LPA。

北落师门

MMD雷达显示系统已到达暹罗南部海岸，很快将登陆，已失去获得西北太国际号的机会，只能在北印度洋发展了。西北太又失去了1个获得TC国际编号的机会。