AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 22.5N 153.4E,
APPROXIMATELY 615 NM NORTHEAST OF SAIPAN. THIS AREA IS THE REMNANT OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS A FULLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER NORTH OF A SHALLOW CONVECTION
THAT HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS TO THE
NORTH IN A ZONE OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. A TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE NORTHWEST HAS MOMENTARILY
PROVIDED POLEWARD OUTFLOW BUT AS THE TUTT MOVED FURTHER WEST THE
OUTFLOW HAS SINCE WANED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.5N
153.4E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.