2010年10月西太平洋97W

sylar

2010年10月西太平洋热带扰动97W

世纪气象热带气旋报告单，只供参考交流，详见：免责声明

  报告人：sylar
所属团队：21cma
扰动编号：97W
编号时间： 18 OCT 2010 0330Z
初始强度：15kts.1010mb
扰动定位：6.5N.141.5E（查看位置：TC Google Map）
存在区域：西太平洋
1、系统结构分析：风场扫描低层环流结构差；多频微波结构較差；云图螺旋性一般
  2、系统环境分析：辐合状态一般；辐散状态一般；系统所处垂直风切微弱；系统所处海表温度 29Ｃ
3、系统现状其他分析： 無
数值预报：部分數值支持
个人评估：發展機會中等
  XX

备注 Notes --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

1、热带扰动初始信息来自美国海军联合台风警报中心（JTWC），采用一分钟平均风速。
  2、KT是航海速度单位“节（knot）”的英文缩写，复数形式KTS，1KT=0.5144m/s。
3、更多基础知识请见： 追击台风的基本知识
世纪气象版权所有，未经许可不得盗用模板和转载。转载时请写明出处、作者和网址。

sylar

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.1N 140.4E,
APPROXIMATELY 163 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS APPROXIMATELY 7 DEGREES SOUTH OF A TUTT
CELL THAT IS BEGINNING TO ENHANCE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM IS STILL SHALLOW AND
DISORGANIZED. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS AN APPARENT BUT
BROAD MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.

sylar

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N 140.4E,
HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.