2010年10月北大西洋热带扰动98L
世纪气象热带气旋报告单,只供参考交流,详见: 免责声明
报告人:sylar
所属团队:21cma
扰动编号:98L
编号时间: 09 OCT 2010 0115Z
初始强度:25kts.1007mb
扰动定位:13.4N.78.4W(查看位置:TC Google Map)
存在区域:北大西洋
1、系统结构分析:风场扫描低层环流结构良好;多频微波结构較差;云图螺旋性一般
2、系统环境分析:辐合状态一般;辐散状态良好;系统所处垂直风切微弱;系统所处海表温度 28C
3、系统现状其他分析: 無
数值预报:暫時沒有數值支持
个人评估:發展機會低
XX
备注 Notes --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---
1、热带扰动初始信息来自美国海军联合台风警报中心(JTWC),采用一分钟平均风速。
2、KT是航海速度单位“节(knot)”的英文缩写,复数形式KTS,1KT=0.5144m/s。
3、更多基础知识请见: 追击台风的基本知识
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A NEARLY STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN
NICARAGUA AND COLOMBIA IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. LITTLE DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE THEREAFTER.
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. |