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[官方预报] 1504 美莎克报文

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发表于 2015-4-3 17:59 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 030900
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY MAYSAK 1504 (1504) INITIAL TIME 030900 UTC
00HR 14.2N 129.6E 965HPA 38M/S
30KTS WINDS 320KM NORTHEAST
280KM SOUTHEAST
280KM SOUTHWEST
280KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 90KM NORTHEAST
90KM SOUTHEAST
100KM SOUTHWEST
100KM NORTHWEST
64KTS WINDS 50KM NORTHEAST
50KM SOUTHEAST
50KM SOUTHWEST
50KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WNW 25KM/H
P+12HR 14.9N 126.9E 975HPA 33M/S
P+24HR 16.2N 124.3E 980HPA 30M/S
P+36HR 17.8N 122.1E 982HPA 28M/S
P+48HR 19.6N 120.3E 990HPA 23M/S
P+60HR 20.7N 119.0E 996HPA 18M/S
P+72HR 21.8N 118.3E 1004HPA 12M/S=
NNNN
发表于 2015-4-3 18:11 | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 开尔文 于 2015-4-3 18:15 编辑

补贴下之前的巅峰报文,巅峰时刻是3月31日12Z

这是今年西太第一个、全球第四个CAT.5的TC

** WTJP21 RJTD 311200 ***
WARNING 311200.
WARNING VALID 011200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 1504 MAYSAK (1504) 905 HPA
AT 10.2N 139.9E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 115 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 180 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 010000UTC AT 10.7N 137.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
900 HPA, MAX WINDS 115 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 011200UTC AT 11.3N 135.9E WITH 70 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
895 HPA, MAX WINDS 120 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 021200UTC AT 12.7N 133.6E WITH 110 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
930 HPA, MAX WINDS 95 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 031200UTC AT 13.9N 130.7E WITH 160 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.



** WTPQ20 BABJ 311200 ***
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
SUPERTY MAYSAK 1504 (1504) INITIAL TIME 311200 UTC
00HR 10.3N 139.9E 910HPA 65M/S
30KTS WINDS 360KM NORTHEAST
300KM SOUTHEAST
240KM SOUTHWEST
340KM NORTHWEST
50KTS  WINDS 150KM NORTHEAST
130KM SOUTHEAST
110KM SOUTHWEST
110KM NORTHWEST
64KTS  WINDS 90KM NORTHEAST
90KM SOUTHEAST
90KM SOUTHWEST
90KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WNW 21KM/H
P+12HR 11.1N  137.7E  905HPA  68M/S
P+24HR 11.9N 135.6E 905HPA 68M/S
P+36HR 12.6N  134.0E  915HPA  62M/S
P+48HR 13.2N 132.6E 930HPA 55M/S
P+60HR 13.9N  130.8E  935HPA  52M/S
P+72HR 14.4N 128.7E 945HPA 48M/S
P+96HR 15.2N 123.9E 965HPA 38M/S
P+120HR 15.9N 120.8E 980HPA 30M/S=



** WTPN31 PGTW 311500 ***
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 04W (MAYSAK) WARNING NR 019
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   311200Z --- NEAR 10.2N 139.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT    
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N 139.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   010000Z --- 10.9N 137.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   011200Z --- 11.5N 135.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 155 KT, GUSTS 190 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z --- 12.2N 133.7E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z --- 13.0N 132.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z --- 14.2N 128.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
    ---
   96 HRS, VALID AT:
   041200Z --- 15.0N 124.0E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   120 HRS, VALID AT:
   051200Z --- 15.7N 120.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
REMARKS:
311500Z POSITION NEAR 10.4N 139.3E.
SUPER TYPHOON 04W (MAYSAK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 114 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 40 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.//
 楼主| 发表于 2015-4-4 05:31 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 031200
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY MAYSAK 1504 (1504) INITIAL TIME 031200 UTC
00HR 14.1N 128.9E 970HPA 35M/S
30KTS WINDS 260KM NORTHEAST
280KM SOUTHEAST
240KM SOUTHWEST
200KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 90KM NORTHEAST
80KM SOUTHEAST
90KM SOUTHWEST
70KM NORTHWEST
64KTS WINDS 50KM NORTHEAST
50KM SOUTHEAST
50KM SOUTHWEST
50KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WNW 26KM/H
P+12HR 15.1N 126.0E 975HPA 33M/S
P+24HR 16.5N 123.7E 980HPA 30M/S
P+36HR 18.2N 121.7E 982HPA 28M/S
P+48HR 19.7N 120.3E 990HPA 23M/S
P+60HR 20.8N 118.9E 996HPA 18M/S
P+72HR 21.3N 118.4E 1004HPA 12M/S=
NNNN
 楼主| 发表于 2015-4-4 05:32 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 031800
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY MAYSAK 1504 (1504) INITIAL TIME 031800 UTC
00HR 14.4N 127.7E 970HPA 35M/S
30KTS WINDS 260KM NORTHEAST
260KM SOUTHEAST
240KM SOUTHWEST
200KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 80KM NORTHEAST
80KM SOUTHEAST
70KM SOUTHWEST
70KM NORTHWEST
64KTS WINDS 40KM NORTHEAST
40KM SOUTHEAST
40KM SOUTHWEST
40KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WNW 25KM/H
P+12HR 15.6N 125.0E 975HPA 33M/S
P+24HR 17.0N 122.9E 980HPA 30M/S
P+36HR 18.9N 120.5E 985HPA 25M/S
P+48HR 20.0N 119.4E 992HPA 20M/S
P+60HR 20.9N 118.4E 996HPA 18M/S
P+72HR 21.5N 117.3E 1004HPA 12M/S=
NNNN
 楼主| 发表于 2015-4-4 10:17 | 显示全部楼层
CMA报文
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 040000
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY MAYSAK 1504 (1504) INITIAL TIME 040000 UTC
00HR 14.8N 126.5E 970HPA 35M/S
30KTS WINDS 240KM NORTHEAST
220KM SOUTHEAST
200KM SOUTHWEST
220KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 80KM NORTHEAST
70KM SOUTHEAST
70KM SOUTHWEST
80KM NORTHWEST
64KTS WINDS 40KM NORTHEAST
40KM SOUTHEAST
40KM SOUTHWEST
40KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WNW 25KM/H
P+12HR 16.1N 123.9E 975HPA 33M/S
P+24HR 17.5N 121.4E 982HPA 28M/S
P+36HR 18.9N 119.3E 988HPA 23M/S
P+48HR 19.9N 118.0E 995HPA 18M/S
P+60HR 20.9N 117.0E 1000HPA 15M/S
P+72HR 21.5N 116.1E 1004HPA 12M/S=
NNNN
 楼主| 发表于 2015-4-4 15:02 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 040600
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TY MAYSAK 1504 (1504) INITIAL TIME 040600 UTC
00HR 15.2N 125.1E 975HPA 33M/S
30KTS WINDS 240KM NORTHEAST
220KM SOUTHEAST
200KM SOUTHWEST
220KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 60KM NORTHEAST
50KM SOUTHEAST
50KM SOUTHWEST
60KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NW 25KM/H
P+12HR 16.5N 122.8E 982HPA 28M/S
P+24HR 18.2N 120.1E 990HPA 23M/S
P+36HR 19.5N 118.6E 995HPA 18M/S
P+48HR 21.0N 117.2E 1002HPA 13M/S=
NNNN
 楼主| 发表于 2015-4-4 15:04 | 显示全部楼层
NRL可以上了,右侧是报文

                               
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 楼主| 发表于 2015-4-4 18:45 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 040900
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS MAYSAK 1504 (1504) INITIAL TIME 040900 UTC
00HR 15.6N 124.5E 980HPA 30M/S
30KTS WINDS 240KM NORTHEAST
220KM SOUTHEAST
200KM SOUTHWEST
220KM NORTHWEST
50KTS WINDS 60KM NORTHEAST
50KM SOUTHEAST
50KM SOUTHWEST
60KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NW 25KM/H
P+12HR 16.8N 122.2E 985HPA 25M/S
P+24HR 18.8N 119.9E 992HPA 20M/S
P+36HR 19.9N 118.7E 996HPA 18M/S
P+48HR 21.5N 117.4E 1002HPA 13M/S=
NNNN
 楼主| 发表于 2015-4-5 06:22 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 042100
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TS MAYSAK 1504 (1504) INITIAL TIME 042100 UTC
00HR 16.0N 123.0E 988HPA 23M/S
30KTS WINDS 200KM NORTHEAST
150KM SOUTHEAST
50KM SOUTHWEST
180KM NORTHWEST
MOVE WNW 23KM/H
P+12HR 17.0N 120.6E 996HPA 18M/S
P+24HR 19.0N 118.2E 999HPA 16M/S=
NNNN
 楼主| 发表于 2015-4-5 11:46 | 显示全部楼层
ZCZC
WTPQ20 BABJ 050300
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
TS MAYSAK 1504 (1504) INITIAL TIME 050300 UTC
00HR 16.5N 122.1E 988HPA 23M/S
30KTS WINDS 200KM NORTHEAST
150KM SOUTHEAST
50KM SOUTHWEST
50KM NORTHWEST
MOVE NW 25KM/H
P+12HR 18.2N 119.6E 996HPA 18M/S
P+24HR 19.4N 117.8E 999HPA 16M/S=
NNNN
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