2010年9月東太平洋10E
[align=center][size=24px] [font=黑体_GB2312][color=#ff6600][b]2010年9月東太平洋热带扰动94E[/b][/color][/font] [/size][/align][align=center]世纪气象热带气旋报告单,只供参考交流,详见:[url=http://www.21cma.net /thread-344-1-1.html][u][color=#444444]免责声明[/color][/u][/url][/align]Q\Y4cnA)L
[size=14px][b]报告人[/b]:sylar[/size]
[size=14px][b]所属团队[/b]:21cma[/size]k!Ir(Y*D~
[size=14px][b]扰动编号[/b]:94E[/size]8N a8~bK8B,EW!B
[size=14px][b]编号时间[/b]:01 SEP 2010 0030Z[/size]
[size=14px][b]初始强度[/b]:25kts.1008mb[/size],CjW^3K
[size=14px][b]扰动定位[/b]:15.7N.106.3W[url=http://maps.google.com/maps?q=X.XN,X.XE][color=#0099cc](查看位置:TC Google Map)[/color][/url][/size]
[size=14px][b]存在区域[/b]:東太平洋[/size] i*[x'`#whWZ
[size=14px][b]1、系统结构分析[/b]:风场扫描低层环流结构良好;多频微波结构較差;云图螺旋性良好[/size]n+H#]e3r%f"n1x8E}:K
[size=14px][b]2、系统环境分析[/b]:辐合状态一般;辐散状态良好;系统所处垂直风切微弱;系统所处海表温度 28C-29C[/size] y%n(i-RE-N)dn
[size=14px][b]3、系统现状其他分析[/b]: 無[/size]'{P+@ Pp}!e5bm
[size=14px][b]数值预报[/b]:EC。GFS支持發展[/size]&q c-B@_j
[size=14px][b]个人评估[/b]:發展機會高[/size]
[size=14px]XX[/size]L}n H/H-Y
[align=left][size=12px][color=#0099cc][b]备注 Notes[/b][/color][color=#999999] --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- [/color][/size][/align] _"zVel4L[#|+nS
1、热带扰动初始信息来自美国海军联合台风警报中心(JTWC),采用一分钟平均风速。o.~ {#{!@(M)g"s/ER
2、KT是航海速度单位“节(knot)”的英文缩写,复数形式KTS,1KT=0.5144m/s。N0Is K7DX#?
3、更多基础知识请见:[url=http://www.21cma.net/thread-4624-1-1.html] [color=#0099cc]追击台风的基本知识[/color][/url]y*V:qmKIxY7I'b
[color=#ff6600]世纪气象版权所有,未经许可不得盗用模板和转载。转载时请写明出处、作者和网址。[/color]
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO/U9mN^ z;p
MEXICO HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION TODAY. STRONGBL5l Dr~
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT...BUT THESE WINDS COULD'm?3Bs4i3_@9ok
DECREASE SOMEWHAT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM7C/^2lC%{'ah7iG
MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
[attach]46033[/attach] NHC06UTC分析出FT2.0,升TD,编号为EP102010。
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