2010年8月北大西洋09L。GASTON(页 1) - 台风展望 - 世纪气象普及气象灾害防御意识提高气候变化应对能力

威尼斯0519 发表于 2010-8-31 13:37

2010年8月北大西洋09L。GASTON

[size=6][b][color=DarkOrange][align=center]2010年8月北大西洋热带扰动98L[/align] [/color][/b][/size]

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[align=center]世纪气象热带气旋报告单，只供参考交流，详见：[url=http://www.21cma.net%20/thread-344-1-1.html]免责声明[/url][/align]

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報告人：威尼斯0519#x)V;q_:OWPg4?J
所屬團隊：21cma-u~7P`k/Iq!j
擾動編号：98L(s7m:T$_$v'`
編号時間：31 AUG 2010 0303Z r5n!N+VVxVKD+[^
初始強度：20kts.1010mb
擾動定位：10.3N.26.6W（查看位置：[url=http://maps.google.com/maps?q=X.XN,X.XE]TC Google Map[/url]）
存在區域：西非近岸附近

1、系統結構分析：云图螺旋性好zR*aN0OX2K
2、系統環境分析：低层辅合状态差；高空幅散状态一般；系统所处垂直风切微弱；涡度一般；系统所处海水表面温度： 26-27摄氏度左右
3、系統現狀其他分析：无
數值預報：EC不支持发展
個人評估：发展机会一般
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[b][color=Blue]备注 Notes[/color][/b] --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- g7o\ldUmRzf:H3E,x\

1、热带扰动初始信息来自美国海军联合台风警报中心（JTWC），采用一分钟平均风速。
2、KT是航海速度单位“节（knot）”的英文缩写，复数形式KTS，1KT=0.5144m/s。R(YfWaw6A
3、更多基础知识请见： [url=http://www.21cma.net/thread-4624-1-1.html]追击台风的基本知识[/url]
[color=DarkOrange]世纪气象版权所有，未经许可不得盗用模板和转载。转载时请写明出处、作者和网址[/color]

sylar 发表于 2010-9-1 21:38

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 800 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS HAVE INCREASED IN ORGANIZATION OVERNIGHT. ENVIRONMENTAL!}E f1Up/i-Sc;E*?1{Q.I
CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL-_:y]H$S},N _
DEPRESSION COULD FORM AT ANY TIME. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80U `d2~[^
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
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qwer 发表于 2010-9-1 22:33

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狂野时速 发表于 2010-9-2 15:58

09LGASTON.35kts-1005mb-135N-380W
一如之前的06L，07L，前方干枯依旧

北落师门 发表于 2010-9-3 15:52

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE@z} vj$S+C t?
VERDE ISLANDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANT LOW OF GASTON. \z G5^d g#A"I8uU'k
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONDUCIVE FORP1iq5Cs0M|b8E
RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20+@\2QZ:g+^
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONEW(xKbm#b
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

北落师门 发表于 2010-9-4 12:13

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
REMNANT LOW OF GASTON...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT HALFWAY BETWEEN THE l%\/s$O#Ra
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. ENVIRONMENTAL1G}5R#K?2B
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL(??]F E9lNW;pv
DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THEK$@(?#sy'_9f~
SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE
...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

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2010年8月北大西洋09L。GASTON